LLMs are a dead end, and the massive amounts of money being wasted on them will make people too scared to invest in other forms of AI.
So we are currently at a local maxima that we won’t overcome in 10 years. It will take much longer before we try a different approach to create “AGI,” and the wasted money on LLMs will slow other forms of AI research, leaving us stagnating for >10 years
I’m not convinced that investors would know the difference between a company trying to improve llms vs taking a new approach. So I don’t think it will stifle investment in other forms of AI research.
I also don’t think they are a dead end overall. They sure aren’t likely to get to agi, but you don’t need agi to be useful.
You have to convince investors why your AI research won’t hit a wall like LLMs are now - they’ve poisoned the term “AI”
They’re a dead end, insofar as they do all they’ll ever be able to; if you can find use for them at their current level, great, but it does not look likely they will be able to do more than they currently can
LLMs are a dead end, and the massive amounts of money being wasted on them will make people too scared to invest in other forms of AI.
So we are currently at a local maxima that we won’t overcome in 10 years. It will take much longer before we try a different approach to create “AGI,” and the wasted money on LLMs will slow other forms of AI research, leaving us stagnating for >10 years
I’m not convinced that investors would know the difference between a company trying to improve llms vs taking a new approach. So I don’t think it will stifle investment in other forms of AI research.
I also don’t think they are a dead end overall. They sure aren’t likely to get to agi, but you don’t need agi to be useful.
You have to convince investors why your AI research won’t hit a wall like LLMs are now - they’ve poisoned the term “AI”
They’re a dead end, insofar as they do all they’ll ever be able to; if you can find use for them at their current level, great, but it does not look likely they will be able to do more than they currently can