Hungary is a fully captured state. It is the poster child for illiberal democracy; it’s actually no longer possible for anyone but Orban and his allies to win at scale.
There will be elections next weekend. After 16 years, this is the first time there is an actual chance to remove Orbán from his seat. While the opposition party leader isn’t a cup of marshmallows, either, it might still be possible to stop Putin’s butt plug very soon.
Except the polls are showing a much more and consistent opposition lead, and discontent is much higher now due to many factors (but in my opinion it’s mostly the economy, highly affected by global economy).
I’ve been thinking of similarities as well: his daughter & family suddenly moved abroad back then, as well, and some institutes were getting ready for a regime change, similarly to this year. However, this time it can be seen in more places, and there has been a scandal about every other day in the past two weeks.
I’m aware of the hopium effect, and they might as well keep their position (although more likely not with 2/3 majority anymore), but as things are at the moment, if they still get some serious majority then it can only be because of their shady business around the elections: bribes, blackmail and assistance from Russian political actors who have had influenced other elections before.
He (and his party) has amassed shittons of government money, funneled them into private equities, made a rule about not having to publish what happens to that money, and used it for whatever the government wouldn’t be allowed to. One of his cronies (none other than the ex leader of the National Bank and the minister of economy) was reported to have moved an astronomical amount of valuables to Dubai in literal containers.
He also replaced basically everyone in important institutions with his bootlickers.
Just because Orbán gets removed from his seat, it doesn’t mean he still won’t have near infinite wealth and influence to try and get back as hard as he can.
Fingers crossed. Orban will not go quietly.
Hungary is a fully captured state. It is the poster child for illiberal democracy; it’s actually no longer possible for anyone but Orban and his allies to win at scale.
There will be elections next weekend. After 16 years, this is the first time there is an actual chance to remove Orbán from his seat. While the opposition party leader isn’t a cup of marshmallows, either, it might still be possible to stop Putin’s butt plug very soon.
We heard the exact same thing in ‘22.
Except the polls are showing a much more and consistent opposition lead, and discontent is much higher now due to many factors (but in my opinion it’s mostly the economy, highly affected by global economy).
I’ve been thinking of similarities as well: his daughter & family suddenly moved abroad back then, as well, and some institutes were getting ready for a regime change, similarly to this year. However, this time it can be seen in more places, and there has been a scandal about every other day in the past two weeks.
I’m aware of the hopium effect, and they might as well keep their position (although more likely not with 2/3 majority anymore), but as things are at the moment, if they still get some serious majority then it can only be because of their shady business around the elections: bribes, blackmail and assistance from Russian political actors who have had influenced other elections before.
I don’t buy that. I guess we’ll find out who is right later this month
He (and his party) has amassed shittons of government money, funneled them into private equities, made a rule about not having to publish what happens to that money, and used it for whatever the government wouldn’t be allowed to. One of his cronies (none other than the ex leader of the National Bank and the minister of economy) was reported to have moved an astronomical amount of valuables to Dubai in literal containers. He also replaced basically everyone in important institutions with his bootlickers.
Just because Orbán gets removed from his seat, it doesn’t mean he still won’t have near infinite wealth and influence to try and get back as hard as he can.
The people of Hungary seem to have quite a long fight ahead of them.
Dont we fucking all
So say we all.
This is the way.