leoj

I don’t know what Iran expected when they spent the last several years actively arming Russia, I wonder how differently the war would have gone without Shaheds terrorizing Ukrainian infrastructure and civilians…

Iran has shown that the United States needs NATO, and NATO needs the United States, more than ever. If Iranian Shaheeds and their manpeds / S300s are hitting US fighters and sneaking past defenses, who knows what more advanced or just sheer high scale weaponry could do, air superiority does not feel guaranteed.

A near peer (Russia) conflict would be ugly on a scale not seen since WWI, a true peer (China) conflict would unleash horrors we cannot imagine. We will all need each other, as NATO is a significant deterrent factor, which could actually save the lives of millions through deterrence, or shift the balance of warfare through increase manufacturing and safe zone output.

Great point, they have come far, but my interactions have led me to believe they have come super far in faking it, not in actually understanding what is being done.

Maybe they have come further then I realize, but based on how easily they get tripped up on simple things and tie themselves into knots, the general models haven’t come too much further since.

I do remember talking to chatbots on AIM back in the day, so I think I had a leg up on other people in already understanding that the technology has existed for decades, which made me more cautious about the claims.

seems like large scale data analysis and mathematics are the strong points of AI if I understand the tools correctly, less ambiguity and room for hallucinations.

Do people agree?

Agreed, but what I am getting at is trying to determine an absolute earliest possible start date. The pile cannot be older than the oldest object in it, so regardless of any other factors, you can at least determine X is the earliest possible start date, then you can use other details to reconstruct other pieces of data (aka the other objects in the pile)

obviously there will be a range of ages, but I’m just following the thread of the oldest object for a starting point, not as an absolute age for everything in the pile.

Hard to say, my reason for guessing older is that the pile appears to be in a fairly dense woodland area. In these types of situations materials do not break down as quickly as they would in direct sunlight, the boogie board on the bottom right leads me to believe the pile has at least partial sun exposure (or it blew from somewhere else / another pile with more sun).

I have seen a 90’s USA football sit exactly like that in a pile for years (5+) and still look relatively inflated, although I bet if you pick that ball up you will quickly realize it has little air and is largely held together by the structure of the material.

Love this game though, wish we could find a source of pictures like this where the dump date is definitively known, but obscured, so we could all test our hypothesis’s definitively.

great point, I used to find trash piles like this in the woods around where I lived, and even as a child I always wondered about who put them there, what their life was like, and what people would think about the piles I left behind, how I could leave clearer messages for them so they were not confused.

good point, I was just getting off work and killing time before heading home, so definitely blew passed some details on the cassette deck!

concur, dumping pile was probably in use during a range of time, curious what might be under there if OP starts poking around with a shovel, was mostly trying to narrow down an oldest object and then work from there.

I think I found the cassette player, although it dates it to the 80s… Although it could of been an old object dumped alongside more contemporary ones, as the cassette doesn’t appear to be as aged as other objects…

https://www.ebay.com/itm/405015397001

Logo on the Wilson football dates from 1994-present, so oldest possible age of pile is ~1994, although I think it is younger.

Design on the Bud Light can is circa 2004, but I feel like someone could of dropped that separate from the pile.

This game is really fun, we should start a subreddit.

Lots of talk about plan B, but I would consider (if you have insurance) getting some pRep and Doxy in your system to prevent as many infections as possible.

I hope things get better for you, I believe in you.

yah thats the right way, was curious about OP since they offered the different spellings.

how did the soup go over?

but is it sillian or murderillian

Are you the person who was asking about making soup for your first date/hook up since he left you at his house the morning after?

Not judging, just curious.

yeah no sounds like a decent deal and you’re a kickass house mate to have, I also WFH so I have often wondered about how a roomate/housemate relationship would work from a business / financial perspective, appreciate the data point.

I feel your pain about the career aspect, also 15 years in my field and I have a spouse… So I get it - doubt I would of partnered up if I had been able to afford living expenses on my own. (I love my spouse and I am overall happy, I just think I may have made different choices in a different set of circumstances).

Do you and your housemate pay the same rent for the space? Not trying to start anything, just curious how that part of the deal works out.